INVESTIGATION: ARRASH, GOLD TRADER Telegram Channel Review
When it comes to financial trading, the notion of "easy money" is always tempting enough for newbies and scammers at the same time. Telegram being one of the most anonymous messengers with broadcasting options became a convenient place for frauds to operate. Many people asked us to investigate the ARRASH, GOLD TRADER Telegram channel which has a rather impressive community of followers.
Our investigation was not based on assumptions and victim complaints. On the contrary, we made use of our proprietary AI model and conducted a thorough 6-month backtest of the free signals offered by ARRASH channel.
Channel Overview
Telegram Channel Link -Ā https://t.me/arrashfxreal
Category | Details |
Channel Name | ARRASH, GOLD TRADER |
Channel Type | Telegram Channel (not a group) |
Subscribers | 26,799 |
Subscriber Quality | Primarily Fake/Bots (Low views relative to subscriber count) |
Years Active | Since 2 December 2021 |
Trading Style | Scalping (Gold - XAUUSD) |
Trading Session | London Session |
Key Content | Free Signals, Trade Updates, Paid Channel Promotion |
Average Posts/Day | ~20 |
Free Signals/Day | 2-3 |
Signal Format | Entry zone, Stop Loss, Take Profit 1, Take Profit 2 |
Backtested Win Rate | 28%Ā (over 6 months) |
Education Offered | None |
Real Person/Face | No |
The Analysis: Why the Numbers Don't Lie
The first thing about ARRASH that we noticed is the manipulation of the data. The channel claims almost 27 thousand of subscribers but the average of ~1,000 views per post shows that in fact, these are mostly fake accounts or bots. This is one of the methods of increasing social proof used to deceive real people.
However, the biggest deception in this channel is hidden in how the trades are shown. So let's consider an example of a trade signal provided by ARRASH in their broadcasts:
XAUUSD SELL NOW @ 4311-4321
Sl : 4323
TP1 : 4297
TP2 : Open
Here are the three schemes used by the channel to deceive their subscribers:
The "Broad Entry Zone" Illusion:Ā The signal suggests an entry point between $4311 and $4321. This is aĀ 100-pip entry zone. In scalping, precision is key. Such a wide range ensures that regardless of market movement, the channel can claim they were "right" about the direction. If the price drops from $4320, they are correct; if it drops from $4310, they are also correct. It's a classic "winning without losing" tactic designed to fabricate a high success rate.
The Unreachable Take Profit:Ā The stop loss is at $4323, meaning a loss of 120 pips. The first take profit (TP1) is at $4297, which is a potential gain of 140 pips. The problem?Ā TP2 is never providedĀ (as stated in the data).
The Hidden Reality (The Real R:R Ratio):Ā Our backtesting over six months revealed the grim truth. The price rarely goes beyond TP1. The average winning rate for these free forecasts is a mereĀ 28%. This means that for every 10 trades, you are likely to win only 2.8.
A 28% winning rate means a negative expected value. With the help of our AI model calculations we determined the following:
If risking 1% of your account per trade, you are expected to make only 0.55% profit in time.
This is a terrible Real Reward-to-Risk Ratio. The main danger of this channel is the fact that they persuade you that these are low-risk strategies ("small SL") while in fact, stopping of losses is combined with a small chance of reaching the TP.
Conclusion: Scam Tactics Uncovered
The work of ARRASH, GOLD TRADER Telegram channel is based on one principle: deception. The fact that they provide broad entry zones allows them to be accurate "without losses". Partial close strategies and TP2 are also used to inflate pips and to obscure the fact that most of the trades go straight to the stop loss point before reaching TP1.
Our data analysis proves that this is a scam channel. The low win rate (28%) compared to the risks gives us all the evidence we need to call this strategy destructive for any trader who will follow this blindly.
0/10 TRUST SCORE
Verdict: We do not recommend you to join this channel and especially pay for the premium service of this channel. The results' manipulation and absence of a real person behind the account are the major red flags in this case. Don't let yourself be deceived by this channel. Multiple take profits, entry zones, and partial-close are not included in the results reports. To see the real picture, you need to conduct your own backtesting.
